Prediction Markets vs iGaming Careers in Gibraltar
Gibraltar has two gaming-adjacent industries pulling in opposite directions right now. Online gaming, the sector that helped build the modern economy here, is under real pressure. Prediction markets, brand new and the first of its kind anywhere, is just starting to hire. If you are choosing where to build a career, here is an honest comparison. This is about the jobs, not about trading or betting.
Where iGaming is right now
iGaming is still one of Gibraltar's largest private employers, with more than 3,400 people working directly in the sector and gambling making up around a third of the territory's tax receipts. But it is under pressure. UK remote gaming duty is rising from 21 to 40 percent from April 2026, which lands hard on operators based here. One of the biggest, evoke, the owner of William Hill and 888, is being acquired by Bally's Intralot, and its leadership has flagged thousands of job cuts. Gibraltar's Gambling Commissioner has publicly said to expect significant redundancies and that the sector will look very different. None of that means iGaming is finished, but it is contracting and changing.
Where prediction markets are right now
Prediction markets is the opposite story, just much smaller. On 13 July 2026 Gibraltar became the first country in the world with a dedicated rulebook for the sector, and it is actively trying to attract operators as a way to diversify beyond gaming. Because licensed operators have to run genuine local teams, new licences turn into local jobs. The catch is scale. As of mid-July 2026 there are two operators, ADI Predictstreet and Wire Markets, with a third expected. It is a growth area, but it is early days, not a mass employer yet.
What it means for your career
The good news is that you do not really have to choose in a way that wastes your experience. The two sectors hire for a lot of the same roles: compliance and anti-money-laundering, engineering, operations, risk, support and marketing. If you already work in iGaming and you are worried about where it is heading, prediction markets is a natural place to look, because your skills carry over almost directly. If you are starting out, iGaming still has far more openings today, while prediction markets offers the chance to get in early on something new.
The honest take
iGaming is the bigger, more established employer that happens to be shrinking. Prediction markets is the smaller, newer one that is growing. The smart move for a lot of people is not either or, it is keeping an eye on both, building the transferable skills that work in each, and being ready to move as the balance shifts. Register your CV so you are visible to operators in both, and watch the prediction market jobs page as roles appear.
Common questions
Is iGaming a dying industry in Gibraltar?
No, but it is under real pressure. A large rise in UK remote gaming duty from April 2026 has led operators to flag job cuts and restructuring, and the Gambling Commissioner has said the sector will look very different. It remains one of Gibraltar's biggest private employers, so it is contracting and changing rather than disappearing.
Are prediction markets bigger than iGaming in Gibraltar?
No, not remotely, at least not yet. iGaming employs thousands of people across many licensed operators. Prediction markets is brand new, with two operators as of mid-July 2026 and a third expected. It is the growth story, but it is small and early.
Do iGaming skills transfer to prediction markets?
Yes. Compliance, anti-money-laundering, operations, engineering and support skills carry over well, because a prediction-market operator is a regulated technology business much like an online gaming one.
Ready to look at both?
Register your CV once and be visible to employers across Gibraltar's gaming and prediction-market sectors.
Register your CV →General information about careers in Gibraltar's gaming and prediction-market sectors. This is a jobs and careers resource, not legal, immigration, tax or investment advice, and it does not offer or promote trading or gambling. Prediction markets are an 18+ regulated activity. Details are shown as at 17 July 2026 and verified against Gibraltar Government sources and operator announcements. Figures on the gaming sector reflect reporting available at that date and may change.